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Jobs and turnover: Prior to coronavirus pandemic, these were 24 jobs you would be most likely to lose – USA TODAY

Posted: August 13, 2020 at 12:44 am

Some in the art and music industry worry that the lack of restaurant jobs is putting a strain on New York's creative class. (July 14) AP Domestic

About 18.9 million Americans 11.4% of the workforce either switch occupations or exit the labor force entirely each year. Many of these workers may have made the choice to leave their jobs for a higher-paying job, a better work environment, a career better suited to their skills or interests, or simply to retire. In other cases, these workers may not have had a choice and were either laid off or terminated.

But not all occupations have the same conditions, and conditions in some may encourage more workers to leave willingly or not. In these occupations, turnover rates far exceed the national average.

Using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections program, 24/7 Wall St. identified the occupations Americans are most likely to lose. Occupations are ranked by their turnover, or separation rate the annualized share of workers projected to leave the occupation, either to retire or start a new career voluntarily or not. The separation rates on this list range from to 16.4% to nearly 25%. In the case of a tie, the occupation with more workers ranked higher.

The occupations with the highest turnover tend to share several characteristics. Some of them are physically demanding and can take a toll on workers health. Many of them require little in the way of formal education or training and involve simple, repetitive tasks. Additionally, in nearly every job on this list, the median compensation is well below the median salary across all occupations of $39,810. Here is a list of the 25 lowest paying jobs in America.

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Other occupations on this list are simply becoming less common. Six of the 24 jobs on this list are projected to have a decline in overall employment from 2018 to 2028. Waning demand for these workers suggests that high turnover rates are more likely to be driven by layoffs.

It is important to note that these projections do not account for the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Recent fluctuations in economic activity due to the coronavirus outbreak and efforts to contain it, as well as government relief programs for employers and workers, are likely to have significant impacts on separation rates in coming years. Many of the occupations on this list are in the industries hardest hit by COVID-19, including accommodation and food services, arts, entertainment and recreation, and leisure and hospitality. Here is a complete list of the industries being devastated by the coronavirus.

Crossing guards.(Photo: kali9 / E+ via Getty Images)

24. Crossing guards

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.4%

Employment, 2018: 81,700

Employment, 2028: 86,300

10-yr projected employment chg.: +4,600 (+5.6%)

Median annual wage: $29,760

According to Bureau of Labor Statistics projections, an average of about 16.4% of all crossing guards working in the United States will leave the job every year through 2028. Of the 1,500 Americans expected to leave the job annually, about 1,100 will likely move on to other occupations and 400 will leave the labor force entirely.

As is the case with the majority of jobs Americans are most likely to quit, crossing guards wages are relatively low. The median wage of a crossing guard is less than $30,000 a year, while the median annual wage across all occupations is about $40,000.

23. Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.6%

Employment, 2018: 356,900

Employment, 2028: 402,500

10-yr projected employment chg.: +45,700 (+12.8%)

Median annual wage: $40,390

Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors is one of several physically demanding occupations to rank on this list. These workers typically conduct training sessions in any number of environments, including gyms, studios, and clients homes often working on nights, weekends, and holidays. Each year through 2028, about 16.6% of fitness trainers and aerobics instructors are projected to leave their job either retiring or switching careers.

In much of the country, gyms and fitness centers have been shut down for months as a part of the effort to contain the spread of the coronavirus. Many of these facilities will likely not reopen, and as a result, turnover among fitness trainers and aerobics instructors this year could be far higher than projected.

22. Recreation workers

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.6%

Employment, 2018: 408,300

Employment, 2028: 442,000

10-yr projected employment chg.: +33,800 (+8.3%)

Median annual wage: $26,350

Recreation workers lead activities in summer camps, recreation centers, nursing care facilities, parks, and more. About one in six people in this field are projected to leave the occupation annually between 2018 and 2028, amounting to over 70,600 people per year.

Most of the people leaving their jobs as recreational workers are switching jobs, not leaving the labor force altogether. This may be due in part to the fact that the typical recreation worker earns just $26,350, well below the median annual wage of $39,810 for all jobs.

21. Hotel, motel, and resort desk clerks

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 16.9%

Employment, 2018: 265,400

Employment, 2028: 248,700

10-yr projected employment chg.: -16,700 (-6.3%)

Median annual wage: $24,470

The number of hotel, motel, and resort desk clerk occupations is projected to decline from 265,400 to 248,700 by 2028. The jobs high turnover rate may be due in part to layoffs, as it is one of six occupations on this list expected to lose jobs by 2028.

Desk clerks are in one of the lowest paying jobs in the country, with a median annual wage of $24,470. It is one of less than two dozen jobs in the country with a median annual wage below $25,000.

20. Models

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.1%

Employment, 2018: 3,600

Employment, 2028: 3,400

10-yr projected employment chg.: -200 (-5.7%)

Median annual wage: $28,350

Models pose for artists and photographers, often to advertise a product. Unlike many jobs with lower turnover, models' work schedules tend to be inconsistent and less predictable, and the job requires no formal education. Models often must fit within a certain height and weight range. Every year between now and 2028, the BLS projects that about 400 models will retire and another 200 will transfer to a new career.

With the emergence of social media and new marketing strategies, demand for models is projected to decline in the coming years. The number of models working in the United States is projected to decline by 6% between 2018 and 2028.

Demonstrators and product promoters.(Photo: Deagreez / iStock / Getty Images Plus)

19. Demonstrators and product promoters

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.1%

Employment, 2018: 87,400

Employment, 2028: 92,000

10-yr projected employment chg.: +4,600 (+5.2%)

Median annual wage: $30,930

Demonstrators and product promoters show off merchandise and answer questions for the purpose of creating public interest in buying the product. Many also sell the demonstrated merchandise.

Unlike many of the jobs with high turnover, demonstrators and product promoters are projected to be more likely to leave the labor force entirely than switch occupations. Some 9,100 workers in the occupation are projected to exit the labor force, and 6,300 to transfer to a new occupation each year from 2018 to 2028.

18. Dining room and cafeteria attendants and bartender helpers

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.1%

Employment, 2018: 465,900

Employment, 2028: 511,100

10-yr projected employment chg.: +45,200 (+9.7%)

Median annual wage: $23,470

Unlike many of the other jobs with the highest annual turnover, dining room and cafeteria attendants and bartender helpers are projected to have a relatively even amount of workers leaving the profession for another job and those leaving the labor force altogether. Each year from 2018 to 2028, the BLS expects 40,300 of these workers to stop working and 43,200 to transfer to a new occupation.

As a part of the effort to contain the spread of the novel coronavirus, in-door dining facilities and bars have been shut down for months in much of the country. Many of these facilities will likely not reopen, and as a result, turnover among dining room and cafeteria attendants and bartender helpers this year could be far higher than the BLS initially projected.

17. Choreographers

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.3%

Employment, 2018: 7,200

Employment, 2028: 7,000

10-yr projected employment chg.: -200 (-2.8%)

Median annual wage: $46,330

The number of choreographers is projected to decline from 7,200 to 7,000 from 2018 to 2028. The job is one of six occupations on this list expected to lose jobs within 10 years. Waning demand for choreographers in the job market suggests that the occupations high projected turnover rate is driven in part by layoffs.

With a median annual wage of $46,330, choreographers have the highest median income of any job with the highest projected annual turnover.

16. Dancers

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.3%

Employment, 2018: 13,900

Employment, 2028: 14,000

10-yr projected employment chg.: +100 (+0.6%)

Median annual wage: Not available

Dancers can work in a range of environments, from casinos and cruise ships to traveling dance companies and in music videos. The job can take a considerable toll on performers' bodies, and dancers are among the most likely workers to sustain an injury. The demanding physical nature of the work likely explains why, each year, about 17.3% of dancers about 2,400 people in the United States either move on to a new career or leave the workforce entirely.

Across the country, live performances, including those that involve dancers, have been cancelled in an effort to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus. Cancelled performances could contribute to higher turnover among dancers this year than the BLS anticipated in its projections.

15. Food preparation workers

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.3%

Employment, 2018: 842,100

Employment, 2028: 911,200

10-yr projected employment chg.: +69,100 (+8.2%)

Median annual wage: $24,800

Food preparation workers are generally not well compensated. Most workers in the occupation earn less than $25,000 per year, well below the U.S. median annual wage for all occupations of $39,810. An estimated 17.3% of workers in the industry will leave it annually between 2018 and 2028, or over 151,000 people a year. Yet the number of jobs in this sector is expected to increase by 8.2% during that time, well above the 5.2% projected employment increase across all jobs.

Like other occupations on this list in the food services industry one that has been hit particularly hard by the COVID-19 pandemic food preparation workers may now have a higher turnover rate this year than the BLS originally projected. Restaurants across the country have been closed for months, and many will not reopen.

Bartenders.(Photo: Pekic / E+ via Getty Images)

14. Bartenders

Annual total occupational separations rate, 2018-28: 17.6%

Employment, 2018: 644,100

Employment, 2028: 696,300

10-yr projected employment chg.: +52,200 (+8.1%)

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Jobs and turnover: Prior to coronavirus pandemic, these were 24 jobs you would be most likely to lose - USA TODAY


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